First pitch 7:15 pm ET
Where both clubs actually are
New York MetsRecord51-67
Games back19.5
Last 105-5
Run diff-53
StreakL1
StarterChristian Scott (3-3, 3.15 ERA)
Atlanta BravesRecord70-47
Games backleads
Last 108-2
Run diff+119
StreakL2
StarterBryce Elder (8-6, 3.69 ERA)
Records and pitching lines from ESPN, as of Aug 9 · a probable starter is not a confirmed one until first pitch
What the numbers say
Atlanta looks like the clear side here at -157, riding an 8-2 last-10 stretch with a +119 run differential that dwarfs the Mets' -53. New York's Christian Scott carries the lower ERA at 3.15 versus Bryce Elder's 3.69, which may explain why the spread isn't wider. The total sits at 8 with the under slightly favored at -105.
Machine-written from the live numbers on this page, 2:16 pm ET · not a pick · lines move, confirm at the book
The market
Under 8. The desk did not make a call on this game. We are not calling it value: against our own no-vig line it is priced about right. What is below is a price comparison, so you take the best number on offer rather than the first one you see.
Prices pulled 3:21 pm ET · lines move, confirm at the book
If this happens, do this
Good until first pitch, 7:15 pm ET
If the total drops to 7.5Over 7.5
The market shortened it for you. Take 7.5 and keep the run you just saved.
If it climbs to 8.5Under 8.5
A higher total is a cheaper Under. The number moved toward you, so follow it.
If Christian Scott is scratchedPass on this entirely
New pitcher changes everything. Step back and let the market find its price before anyone acts on ours.
In-game prices move on every pitch. The number shown is the threshold that makes the bet worth taking, not a price any book guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Page generated by SlateLines from live odds and ESPN data. 21+ · Gambling problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY (877-846-7369) or text HOPENY (467369) Picks are opinion and analysis, not financial advice. Every play can lose. Available where legal.