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Winnipeg has lost three straight, played in Tampa last night, and is expected to start a goalie making his first start for the team. I know. But the market has Florida at about 67%, and our ratings have it closer to 57%. At this price, that’s enough to take the dog. Jets.
The Matchup
- Winnipeg is sliding. The Jets are 4-6-3 and 2-6-2 in their last ten, with 32 goals for and 42 against. They lost 5-1 at home to Florida on Tuesday and 6-4 in Tampa on Thursday. Kyle Connor has 10 goals.
- Florida has done its winning on the road. The Panthers are 7-4-2 and have won two straight, but they’re 2-1-0 at home. Brady Tkachuk has 8 goals and 7 assists, and Carter Verhaeghe has 8 goals.
- Rest. Winnipeg is on the second night of a back-to-back. Florida last played Tuesday.
- Puck drop. 7:00 PM ET at Amerant Bank Arena.
The Goalies
Akira Schmid is confirmed for Florida. He’s 4-2-1 at .885. Jacob Markstrom is at .897 in six starts.
Nico Daws is expected for Winnipeg on the back-to-back. He came over from New Jersey, where he was 2-2-0 at .872 in four starts this season. Stuart Skinner, at .899, played last night. Daws isn’t confirmed yet.
The Number
Take the margin out and the market makes Florida about a 67% favorite. Our ratings, with Daws in goal, have the Panthers closer to 57%. That’s a real gap at plus money, and it rests on our ratings, not on news, so it stays a lean.
The honest case against: Florida won 5-1 in Winnipeg on Tuesday, and the Jets are tired and cold. It’s a Game Pick, a lean, and like every pick we post, it lands on the receipts page win or lose.
Bottom Line
Take the Jets on the moneyline at +180 at BetMGM. Lean. Too big a price for a game we see as much closer. Go Jets Go.
Lines as of Friday morning. Daws is expected, not confirmed, so check him before puck drop.
Best Prop for This Game
We stick to shots on goal for hockey props, and we start from the under. It has a trend, a matchup and a real price behind it. It’s a Game Pick prop, a separate bet from our pick, so keep it small.
Matthew TkachukUnder 2.5 shots on goalFewer shots than the name suggests, at plus money.
2.1 shots a game, at about 17 to 18 minutes a night
−105
Prices checked Friday morning. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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