NFL · WEEK 8 · MON NOV 2 · 8:20PM ET

Bears vs Seahawks Picks, Odds & Best Bets: Monday Night Football, November 2, 2026

By SlateLines · Oct 31, 2026

October 31, 2026

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Bears

8:20PM ET

Seahawks

Week 8

GAME PICK · LEAN

Bears +3−105

Pick locks at 5:20PM ET

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Two good teams on Monday night, and our numbers have them closer than the line. Chicago is 5-2 and has won both games since Caleb Williams came back. Seattle is missing its left tackle. It’s a small edge, but a field goal is a field goal. Give me the Bears and the points.

The Matchup

Williams is back and rolling. He missed Weeks 3 through 5. Since returning he’s gone 30 of 36 for 305 yards at Atlanta and 22 of 33 for 308 against New England, and the Bears won both.
Chicago can run. The Bears average 154.3 rushing yards a game and score 25.7 points a game. The defense has 19 sacks.
Seattle’s line is hurting. Left tackle Charles Cross has a high ankle sprain and is doubtful. Receiver Rashid Shaheed (knee) didn’t practice Thursday, and defensive tackle Leonard Williams (Achilles) is limited and questionable.
Seattle’s defense is real. The Seahawks are 4-3, have allowed 125 points in seven games and held Kansas City to 3 points last week. They have 12 takeaways.
Chicago’s injuries. Tight end Cole Kmet went on injured reserve Friday. Safety Anthony Johnson Jr. is out, and running back Kyle Monangai (thumb, toe) is questionable.
Weather and kickoff. Mostly cloudy, 52 degrees, wind 2 mph (NWS hourly, checked Friday). 8:15 PM ET Monday at Lumen Field, on ESPN.

The Number

Chicago is plus 37 in point differential through seven games, 5.3 a game. Seattle is plus 43 through seven, 6.1 a game. Add a point and a half for home field and we get Seattle by about two and a half. The line is three. The market makes Seattle about a 60% favorite to win outright.

The honest case against: this is a thin edge, half a point. Chicago’s numbers include three games without Williams, and Seattle’s defense just shut down Patrick Mahomes. If the Seahawks get pressure without needing to blitz, a field goal won’t be enough. It’s a Game Pick, a lean, and like every pick we post, it lands on the receipts page win or lose.

In-Game Bets

If Cross is active and plays. That takes away part of the read. Leave the bet, don’t add.
If Seattle scores first. Don’t bail. One score doesn’t change the read.
If Chicago leads by a touchdown late. Don’t chase anything live. The pick is already where it needs to be.

Bottom Line

Take the Bears plus three at -105 at Fanatics. Lean. Williams is healthy, Seattle’s left tackle isn’t, and a field goal is a lot in a game this close. Bear down.

Same-Game Parlay

Two legs, one read. If Chicago covers, it’s most likely because the Bears’ pass rush gets to Sam Darnold behind a backup left tackle. That also keeps his passing yards down. Both legs need the same game, so this is one position, not two bets.

Lines as of Friday afternoon; confirm them before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.

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