Miami vs Notre Dame: Why Is No. 1 Miami a Touchdown Underdog?
MIAMI AT NOTRE DAME · SAT NOV 7 · 7:30 PM ETUndefeated, number one, and Miami is getting a full touchdown in South Bend. I'm not buying it.
Miami wins outright.
The host's callMiami's pass rush decides this game
Miami has 24 sacks in eight games. Make C.J. Carr move off his spot, and the Irish offense looks a lot less comfortable. Carr has 18 touchdown passes and one interception when he has time, so the Canes can’t give him any.
Nobody runs on either of these defenses
Miami allows 2.36 yards a carry. Notre Dame allows 2.79. When neither team can run, drives stall and the punters get a workout. We went back through eleven seasons of college football: when both defenses stop the run this well, the under hit 54% or better in every stretch we checked. This one is close and low. Give me the under.
Mensah doesn't give it away
Darian Mensah has 25 touchdown passes and one interception, and Miami converts 55% of its third downs, 48 of 88. Number one leaves South Bend unbeaten.
The injury news
Malachi Toney, Miami’s best receiver with 1,027 yards and 13 touchdowns, hurt his ankle in practice this week. Miami hasn’t given an update. If he sits, that’s most of the reason this line sits at a touchdown. Notre Dame is without linebacker Drayk Bowen plus two starters in the secondary, safety Brauntae Johnson and corner DJ McKinney.
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EVERY BET I'D MAKE HEREThe parlays
Notre Dame is +14 in turnover margin.
Notre Dame has given up two sacks all season. If that line keeps Carr clean and Mensah throws his second interception of the year, I’m wrong, and loudly.
Is Miami for real, or is this the week the unbeaten run ends?
Who you got? Tell me I'm wrong.
It's all about the U.