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Ten and a Half Is Too Many, Take Sacramento
NBA · FRI NOV 13 · 10:00 PM ET · Golden 1 Center · FINAL POR 120, SAC 107
Kings +10.5Spread · −115
−115Bet at FanDuel →Our edge: Portland is rolling and Sacramento is winless at home, so the market has made this a double-digit spread. Look closer. The Blazers are playing without Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe, and the Kings haven't been getting blown out in their own building. Our pick: Kings plus 10.5.
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Kings +10.521+. Tap any price to bet it at that book. SlateLines earns a commission from sportsbook links.
Kings +10.5
Our number: POR −3 · Line: POR −10.5
The Kings lose close at home
Sacramento is 0-6 at Golden 1 Center, I know. But it lost by seven to Orlando and by six to Miami in two of its last three there. Darius Acuff Jr. is scoring 26.2 a game with 7.3 assists, and Domantas Sabonis is grabbing 13.3 boards.
Portland is good, but short
The Blazers are 8-3 and 5-1 on the road, and they score 119.5 a night. Deni Avdija is putting up 23 points and 6.5 assists, and Donovan Clingan grabs 10.5 boards. But Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe are both out, along with Vit Krejci and Chris Youngblood.
Bodies
Sacramento is without Ben Simmons and Maxime Raynaud, and Precious Achiuwa is day-to-day with an ankle injury. Check both injury reports before tip.
Our numbers have the Blazers by about three. Be honest about that: those ratings come from last season, and Shaedon Sharpe was a big part of that Portland team. He’s out tonight. Even if you give the Blazers a few extra points for how well they’ve played, you’re nowhere near ten and a half. I’ll take the extra point at 10.5 over 9.5 at a slightly cheaper price.
What scares me: Sacramento gives up 121 points a game and turns it over 17.5 times a night, and Portland’s offense can turn a close game into a 15-point game in one quarter.
Take the Kings plus 10.5 at −115 at FanDuel. Ten and a half is a big ask for a road team missing two of its best guards. It lands on the receipts page win or lose. Light the beam.
+10.5−115Parlays
A short-handed Portland team doesn't run away from anybody, and Sacramento keeps it inside ten and a half in a lower-scoring game.
Kings +10.5Spread−115
Under 228.5Total points−110Same-game legs are linked, so the book prices the ticket in its own builder. Check the number there before you place it.
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Picks are opinion and analysis, not financial advice. Odds move; confirm at the book.