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Jaguars vs Titans: Duval Runs Up the Score
WEEK 10 · SUN NOV 15 · 1:00 PM ET · FOXOur edge: The Jaguars have outscored people by 108 and just went shopping for more defense, and the Titans haven't won a home game. Our score: Jaguars 33, Titans 14.
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Jaguars −14.5
The best team in the division went shopping
Jacksonville is 6-2 and leads the NFL at plus-9 in turnover margin. Its 11 interceptions rank third. So what did the Jaguars do Monday? They traded for safety Jessie Bates, who has 28 career interceptions, and then sent a 2027 first-round pick to Philadelphia for defensive tackle Jordan Davis.
That isn’t a team protecting a three-game division lead. That’s a team that wants the whole AFC. And their first look at the new toys comes against a 1-7 team.
Trevor LawrenceLawrence is dealing
Trevor Lawrence has 18 touchdown passes and four interceptions at 8.5 yards a throw. Against Indianapolis he went 10 of 14 for 210 yards and three scores in a 42-7 win, and last Thursday he threw for 242 in a 33-10 win at Baltimore. The Jaguars convert 46% of their third downs. Those are the two most recent games, and they won them by a combined 58 points.
Tennessee can't win at home
The Titans are 0-4 in Nashville. They scored 10 against the Jets and 3 against Houston at home. Cam Ward has six touchdowns and five picks at 6.0 yards a throw, and the Titans average 18 points a game. On Tuesday they traded safety Amani Hooker, who leads the NFL with five interceptions, to Buffalo. That’s the second defensive captain Tennessee has shipped out, after Jeffery Simmons went to Chicago in October. The Jaguars got better at the deadline. The Titans sold the back end of their defense right before Lawrence comes to town.
At −550 or worse you're risking a lot to win a little. Lay the points instead. We like fourteen and a half at plus money.
Tony Pollard against a missing nose tackle. Jacksonville lost DaVon Hamilton for the year and gave up 172 rushing yards to Baltimore in its first game without him. Pollard ran for 129 and three scores against Cleveland, and fourteen and a half is a lot of points if he does that again.
The safe number is −10.5. Our score says Jaguars by 19, so we are laying fourteen and a half and getting plus money for it.
Parlays
The book sets the final price. Same-game legs are linked, so it is usually lower than these estimates.
Bhayshul Tuten anytime touchdown
Bhayshul TutenJAX · RBScored in four of his last six gamesTuten has scored in four of his last six games, on the ground and through the air, including two receiving touchdowns against Houston. Jacksonville comes away with points on 87% of its red-zone trips. Tennessee gave up 43 to Cincinnati last time out.
Bhayshul Tuten: last 5 gamesLINE: U 0.5
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Is Jacksonville the best team in the AFC right now?
Tell me I'm wrong.
DUUUVAL.