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Mavericks
HeatMiami is 0-3 with Giannis, and that won’t last. Dallas shows up without Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Santi Aldama or Dereck Lively. I’ll lay it with the Heat at home.
The Matchup
- Miami needs one. The Heat lost 131-106 to Minnesota, 128-111 to Detroit and 115-110 in Charlotte.
- Dallas is 1-2. The Mavericks lost in Houston and San Antonio and beat Indiana in between.
- Last season. Miami went 43-39 at plus 2.3, and Dallas went 26-56 at minus 5.5.
- Tip-off. 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center, on NBA TV.
Injuries
Dallas is without Naji Marshall (illness), Caleb Martin, Santi Aldama and Dereck Lively II. Cooper Flagg (shoulder) has been upgraded to probable. Miami has nobody listed.
The Number
Last season’s margins plus home court make Miami about a ten-point favorite. The board says seven and a half, so there are two and a half points of daylight on the Heat, before you count how short-handed Dallas is.
The honest case against: Miami hasn’t won yet, and the new-look Heat haven’t figured each other out. It’s a Game Pick, a lean, and like every pick we post, it lands on the receipts page win or lose.
Bottom Line
Take the Heat minus seven and a half at −115 at Fanatics. Lean. A desperate home team against a banged-up visitor. Heat Culture.
Same-Game Parlay
One read in two legs. If Miami covers, the Heat bench is producing, and Bobby Portis is a big part of that. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not two bets.
- ✕Miami Heat -7.5
- ✕Bobby Portis over 11.5 points
✕ LOST · 0 of 2 legs hit
Miami's depth beats a thin Dallas roster.
Lines as posted Monday at 2:04 PM ET; confirm them before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
