WORLD SERIES · GAME 5 · WED OCT 28 · 8PM ET

Brewers vs Rays Picks, Odds & Best Bets: World Series Game 5, October 28, 2026

By SlateLines · Oct 28, 2026

October 28, 2026

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BrewersJacob Misiorowski · 1.80 ERA

8PM ET

Rays

Misiorowski · 1.80 ERA

Brewers lead 3–1

GAME PICK · LEAN

Tampa Bay Rays ML+132 FanDuel

Pick locks at 5PM ET

21+ · Gambling involves risk and can be addictive · Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER · Picks are opinion and analysis, not financial advice. Odds move; confirm at the book.

The Rays are still alive. Tampa won Game 4 in 12 innings, 4-3, and now Milwaukee leads the series 3-1 with one more game at Tropicana Field. We had the Brewers last night, and that one goes on the receipts page as a loss. Tonight the price has swung far enough that we’re taking Tampa.

The Matchup

Game 4 went long. Milwaukee scored in the top of the 12th, and the Rays answered with two in the bottom half. Ian Seymour got the win, and Shane Drohan took the loss.
The series so far. Milwaukee won 3-2, 5-4 and 10-1 before last night. Three of the four games have been decided by one run.
The season. Milwaukee went 103-59 and outscored opponents by 214 runs. Tampa went 98-64, plus 86.
First pitch. 8:00 PM ET at Tropicana Field, on Fox.

The Pitchers

Jacob Misiorowski starts for Milwaukee. He went 16-5 with a 1.80 ERA and 252 strikeouts in 174.2 innings this season, and he beat Tampa in Game 1, allowing one run in five innings. He hasn’t finished more than five innings in any of his three postseason starts.

Tampa hasn’t named a starter yet. Nick Martinez started Game 1 and lines up on regular rest. He went 15-6 with a 3.10 ERA in 31 starts this season, and he has a 2.81 ERA in 16 postseason innings.

The Number

Take the margin out and the market makes Milwaukee about a 58% favorite on the road. Our run-scoring numbers, with Misiorowski’s season counted in, land a point or two lower. It’s a small gap, and at plus money it’s on Tampa’s side.

The honest case against: Misiorowski has a 1.80 ERA, the Rays haven’t named a starter, and Milwaukee only needs one more win. It’s a Game Pick, a lean, and it goes on the receipts page win or lose.

Bottom Line

Take the Rays on the moneyline at . Lean. Plus money at home, against a starter who hasn’t gone deep this month. Rays Up.

Lines as posted Wednesday morning. Tampa hasn’t named its starter, so confirm the line before first pitch.

Same-Game Parlay

One read in two legs. Tampa strikes out less than any team in baseball. If the Rays put the ball in play against Misiorowski, they’re probably the ones celebrating. Both legs need the same game, so this is one position, not two bets.

SAME-GAME PARLAY · GAME PICK · LEAN

Brewers at Rays · World Series Game 5 · WED 8PM ET

1Tampa Bay Rays ML+112
2Jacob Misiorowski under 5.5 strikeouts+106

THE ANGLE

Tampa makes contact and forces a Game 6.

See price at FanDuel

FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.

Confirm lines before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.

Best Prop for This Game

One bet beyond the side, with a trend, a matchup and a real price behind it. It’s a Game Pick prop, a separate bet from our pick, so keep it small.

Jacob MisiorowskiUnder 5.5 K

The best arm in the series against the hardest lineup to strike out.

The Rays struck out in 18.8% of plate appearances this season, fewest in the majors

+106

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Player props not available in all states.