VS
Missouri vs Georgia: Dawgs by Three Touchdowns
COLLEGE FOOTBALL · WEEK 11 · PICK · SAT NOV 14 · 3:30 PM ET · ABC
Our edge: Missouri went to Oxford in October and lost 31-3. Georgia went to the same stadium last Saturday and won 42-7. Dawgs by three touchdowns between the hedges. Our score: Georgia 38, Missouri 14.
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Georgia −20.5
Georgia −20.5 +144›Our estimate. Not a guarantee.Georgia just ran through Oxford
Georgia ran 48 times for 295 yards at Ole Miss and won 42-7. Gunner Stockton only needed 15 throws. He went 9 of 15 for 186 yards and four touchdowns, and for the season he has 20 touchdown passes against four picks.
The Dawgs score 41.1 points a game and run for 5.9 yards a carry. They convert 52.4% of their third downs and they’re plus-7 in turnovers. On defense they’ve allowed 15 points total in their last two games. That’s a team that stays on the field until it scores and gets off it when you have the ball.
Georgia210.7
Missouri158.2Mizzou's run game hit a wall
Jamal Roberts has 1,071 rushing yards and nine touchdowns, and he’s the engine of this offense. Texas held him to 66 yards on 19 carries last Saturday, and Missouri went 3 of 16 on third down in a 34-20 home loss. Austin Simmons threw 43 times to get 20 points.
Now Missouri goes on the road to face a defense that gives up 14.0 points and 83.8 rushing yards a game. Both Missouri road losses this year came against SEC teams, 31-24 at Mississippi State and 31-3 at Ole Miss. Our numbers have Georgia by 20. We’re laying a half point more than that and getting +144. Go Dawgs.
Georgia at −750 or worse doesn't pay you anything. We're going bigger: Dawgs by 21 or more at +144.
Missouri doesn't give it away. Simmons has thrown two interceptions all season and the Tigers are plus-6 in turnovers. A team that never hands you short fields can hang around inside a big number. And Auburn already beat Georgia 27-24 in Athens in October.
The safe number is −15.5. We're calling Georgia by 21 or more, so we're laying twenty and a half and getting +144 for it.
−20.5+144Parlays
Georgia −20.5Alt spread+144
Indiana −10.5Alt spread+110
Texas MLMoneyline+150This is the Crazy Bet. For fun, small money. All of our bold calls on one ticket comes out to roughly +1200 at the prices listed. Your book's parlay price may differ.
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Georgia second-half spreadIFMAYBEGeorgia leads by 14 or more at halftimeGeorgia second-half spread21+. One live bet per trigger. Live odds move fast, so check the price before you bet.
Can anybody run on the Dawgs? Who you got? Tell me I'm wrong.
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