Twelve NBA games on Friday, and a Game Pick on every one. Three get the full treatment: Knicks at Celtics, Durant against Wemby in Austin, and the battle for LA.
How we pick NBA games right now: last season’s scoring margins plus two points for home court, compared with the board. A lot of rosters changed this summer, so these are leans. When a star missed last season and is back, like Tyrese Haliburton, the number doesn’t know it, and we go with the board. Every pick lands on the receipts page win or lose.
Bulls at Bucks, 4:00 PM ET
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Our PickMilwaukee Bucks
-110Fanatics
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Two rebuilding teams that were dead even on scoring margin last season, and Milwaukee is home. Chicago lost by 43 in Toronto on Wednesday. Bucks.
Knicks at Celtics, 7:00 PM ET
Our PickBoston Celtics
-105Fanatics
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Somebody’s starting 0-2. Full write-up: Knicks vs Celtics picks.
Hawks at Hornets, 7:00 PM ET
Our PickCharlotte Hornets
-110FanDuel
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Charlotte was more than two points a game better than Atlanta last season, and it’s at home getting points. Kon Knueppel, Coby White and Grant Williams are out again, but Charlotte won without them on Wednesday. Hornets.
Mavericks at Pacers, 7:00 PM ET
Our PickIndiana Pacers
-110FanDuel
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Tyrese Haliburton is back, and our numbers don’t know it, so this one goes with the board. Dallas is without Dereck Lively II, Santi Aldama and Caleb Martin again. Pacers.
Timberwolves at Magic, 7:00 PM ET
Our PickMinnesota Timberwolves
MTMinnesota Timberwolves -1.5
-108FanDuel
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Minnesota just won by 25 in Miami, and the Wolves were the better team last season. Ant.
Raptors at Wizards, 7:00 PM ET
Our PickToronto Raptors
-106FanDuel
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Toronto beat Chicago by 43, and the line has jumped since, and Washington went 17-65 last season. Kawhi and the Raps.
Pistons at Heat, 8:00 PM ET
Our PickDetroit Pistons
-110Fanatics
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Detroit won 60 games last season and beat Boston on opening night. Miami lost by 25 at home to Minnesota. Detroit is now a short favorite. Cade.
Rockets at Spurs, 9:30 PM ET
Our PickHouston Rockets
-110FanDuel
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Durant scored 30 on Wednesday. Full write-up: Rockets vs Spurs picks.
Pelicans at Jazz, 9:30 PM ET
Our PickNew Orleans Pelicans
NOPNew Orleans Pelicans -1
-110Fanatics
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New Orleans was about four points a game better than Utah last season, The line has flipped to New Orleans, but our numbers still like the Pelicans by more. Pelicans.
Grizzlies at Warriors, 10:00 PM ET
Our PickGolden State Warriors
GSWGolden State Warriors -4.5
-110FanDuel
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Memphis went 25-57 last season, and Golden State is home. Even without Jimmy Butler, the numbers like the Warriors by more than four and a half. Dubs.
Clippers at Lakers, 10:00 PM ET
Our PickLA Clippers
-106FanDuel
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Nine and a half is a lot in a rivalry game. Full write-up: Clippers vs Lakers picks.
Trail Blazers at Kings, 10:00 PM ET
Our PickSacramento Kings
-110Fanatics
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The line jumped to Portland by ten after the Blazers’ 41-point win. Our numbers have Portland by about eight, so the points are the value, even with Sacramento missing Ben Simmons, Maxime Raynaud and Dylan Cardwell. Kings with the points.
Lines as posted Friday at 10:26 AM ET, after the Friday injury check.
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Picks are opinion and analysis, not financial advice. Odds move; confirm at the book.