49ers vs Cowboys: The Niners Are the Real Deal

Half their third downs, every red-zone trip

The 49ers convert 51.7% of their third downs and have scored on every single trip inside the 20 this year. They average 29.4 points a game, and Brock Purdy has been sacked eight times all season. That’s an offense that stays on schedule and finishes drives, and it’s why this is their best start since 2019.

Christian McCaffrey has run for a touchdown in six straight games. And on Tuesday the 49ers sent a 2027 sixth-round pick to Indianapolis for Keenan Allen, who led the Colts with 40 catches, to patch up a banged-up receiver room. Rich get richer.

Points allowed per game

49ers19.5

Cowboys26.2

2026 season through Week 9 (ESPN team stats)

Jerry's house hasn't been much of a fortress

Dallas has won one of four home games: a 37-20 win over Washington in Week 2, then three straight home losses, the latest a 33-30 stunner against Arizona. The Cowboys give up 26.2 points a game, and coach Brian Schottenheimer said Monday that tight end Jake Ferguson and running back Tyler Goodson will both miss multiple weeks.

Dak Prescott can sling it with anybody, and Dallas scores 27.3 a game. But the 49ers allow 19.5, and Dallas can’t count on stops to keep pace.

CeeDee LambDAL · WR

CeeDee Lamb over 7.5 receptions

With Ferguson out, Lamb is the whole passing game. He caught 10 of 16 targets for 195 yards against the Colts last week, and he had 17 catches in Houston in October. He’s seen double-digit targets in five of his last six games. If San Francisco gets out front like I think it will, Dak throws to 88 until his arm falls off. Lamb over 7.5 catches.