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Bills vs Jets: Buffalo by Double Digits

WEEK 10 · SUN NOV 15 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS
SLATELINES PICKS 21+ · sportsbook links pay us a commission

Our edge: The Jets are slamming helmets and asking out, and the Bills haven't lost on the road all year. It won't feel that close. Our score: Bills 31, Jets 19.

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COMPARE ODDSBest price highlighted · 11:47 AM ET
OUR PICKSFanDuelFanaticsBetMGM
Bills −11n/a+135BEST+125
James CookCook U 0.5n/a−195n/a

21+. Tap any price to bet it at that book. SlateLines earns a commission from sportsbook links.

01 · POINT SPREADOUR PICK

Bills −11

Bills −11: our chance it cashes52%48%Bills −11  +135Fanatics›Our estimate. Not a guarantee.

Four road games, four wins

Buffalo has gone on the road four times this year and come home happy every time: Houston, the Rams, Las Vegas and Minnesota on Monday night. The Bills score 32 points a game, and they’ve scored on every single trip inside the 20 this season. Every one.

They can do it on the ground, too. Buffalo runs for 146.6 yards a game at 4.5 a carry. James Cook has 814 yards, and he carried it 31 times for 107 in Minnesota against one of the nastiest defenses in the league.

Points per game
Bills32.0
Jets20.2
2026 season through Week 9 (ESPN team stats)

The Jets are coming apart

New York has lost four straight and didn’t score a touchdown in a 35-12 loss in Kansas City. Players were slamming helmets before it was over. Pass rusher Will McDonald asked for a trade because he isn’t playing enough, and the front office shipped safety Andre Cisco to Detroit on Monday. That’s not a team gearing up for the Bills. That’s a team counting down to the offseason.

The Jets have won one of four at home, and the one win was 17-12 over Cleveland.

One interception all year

Here’s the stat that kills the Jets’ upset dreams: their defense has one interception in nine games. One. Josh Allen has thrown six picks, so he’s not perfect, but you can’t beat Buffalo without taking the ball away, and this defense doesn’t take the ball away. Geno Smith has been careful with only three interceptions, but careful doesn’t keep up with 32 a game.

Moneyline: who winsSPREAD IS THE BETTER BUY

At −450 or worse the moneyline barely pays. Lay the points instead. We like eleven at plus money.

Best price: −450 at FanDuelFanDuel
How this blows up on me

A banged-up Bills line on a short week. Buffalo played Monday night in Minnesota and gets one less day to get ready, and tackles Dion Dawkins and Alec Anderson both sat out that game. If the Jets' front pins its ears back against backups, this turns into a 10-point grinder and eleven is one point too many.

Shop the number

The safe number is −7.5. Our score says Bills by 12, so we are laying eleven and getting plus money for it.

−11+135Fanatics
02 · PARLAYSSAME GAME

Parlays

MOST LIKELY2-Leg Same Game ParlaySGP
BUF @ NYJ · SUN 1:00 PM
Bills −11Alt spread+135
James Cook anytime TDPlayer prop−195
EST. ODDS+256
Build this ticketFanDuel
CRAZY BET2-Leg Same Game ParlaySGP
BUF @ NYJ · SUN 1:00 PM
Bills D/ST anytime TDPlayer prop+450
Josh Allen anytime TDPlayer prop−190
EST. ODDS+739
Build this ticketFanDuel

The book sets the final price. Same-game legs are linked, so it is usually lower than these estimates.

03 · PLAYER PROPSOUR PICK

James Cook anytime touchdown

James CookJames CookBUF · RBRushing touchdown in six straight games

Cook has scored a rushing touchdown in six straight games, with two of them coming against the Rams. He has eight on the year, and Buffalo hasn’t come away empty in the red zone once. When the Bills get close, it’s Cook or Allen, and Cook is getting 20-plus carries most weeks.

James Cook: last 5 gamesLINE: U 0.5
1
2
1
1
1
NEWk 4OVER
LARWk 5OVER
LVWk 6OVER
BALWk 8OVER
MINWk 9OVER
Under 0.5 in 0 of the last 5 games.James Cook anytime touchdown  −195Fanatics›
James CookU 0.5 TD−195Fanatics
04 · LIVEIN-GAME

If this happens, tap that

Set before kickoff. Keep this open during the game. When one hits, tap it.

DON'T CHASEIf Cook hasn't scored by halftime, let the prop ride. Don't start stacking more Bills bets to make up for it.

21+. Live odds move fast. Check the price before you bet. SlateLines earns a commission from sportsbook links.

WHO YOU GOT?

Do the Jets have one more fight left in them, or does Buffalo run them over?

Tell me I'm wrong.

BillsJets

Go Bills.