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Bills vs Jets: Buffalo by Double Digits
WEEK 10 · SUN NOV 15 · 1:00 PM ET · CBSOur edge: The Jets are slamming helmets and asking out, and the Bills haven't lost on the road all year. It won't feel that close. Our score: Bills 31, Jets 19.
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Bills −11
Four road games, four wins
Buffalo has gone on the road four times this year and come home happy every time: Houston, the Rams, Las Vegas and Minnesota on Monday night. The Bills score 32 points a game, and they’ve scored on every single trip inside the 20 this season. Every one.
They can do it on the ground, too. Buffalo runs for 146.6 yards a game at 4.5 a carry. James Cook has 814 yards, and he carried it 31 times for 107 in Minnesota against one of the nastiest defenses in the league.
The Jets are coming apart
New York has lost four straight and didn’t score a touchdown in a 35-12 loss in Kansas City. Players were slamming helmets before it was over. Pass rusher Will McDonald asked for a trade because he isn’t playing enough, and the front office shipped safety Andre Cisco to Detroit on Monday. That’s not a team gearing up for the Bills. That’s a team counting down to the offseason.
The Jets have won one of four at home, and the one win was 17-12 over Cleveland.
One interception all year
Here’s the stat that kills the Jets’ upset dreams: their defense has one interception in nine games. One. Josh Allen has thrown six picks, so he’s not perfect, but you can’t beat Buffalo without taking the ball away, and this defense doesn’t take the ball away. Geno Smith has been careful with only three interceptions, but careful doesn’t keep up with 32 a game.
At −450 or worse the moneyline barely pays. Lay the points instead. We like eleven at plus money.
A banged-up Bills line on a short week. Buffalo played Monday night in Minnesota and gets one less day to get ready, and tackles Dion Dawkins and Alec Anderson both sat out that game. If the Jets' front pins its ears back against backups, this turns into a 10-point grinder and eleven is one point too many.
The safe number is −7.5. Our score says Bills by 12, so we are laying eleven and getting plus money for it.
Parlays
The book sets the final price. Same-game legs are linked, so it is usually lower than these estimates.
James Cook anytime touchdown
James CookBUF · RBRushing touchdown in six straight gamesCook has scored a rushing touchdown in six straight games, with two of them coming against the Rams. He has eight on the year, and Buffalo hasn’t come away empty in the red zone once. When the Bills get close, it’s Cook or Allen, and Cook is getting 20-plus carries most weeks.
James Cook: last 5 gamesLINE: U 0.5
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Do the Jets have one more fight left in them, or does Buffalo run them over?
Tell me I'm wrong.
Go Bills.