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The Giants are 3-1-1, and they’re getting points at MetLife against a 1-4 Saints team? Big Blue, all day. Our number has New York by about two and a half.
The Matchup
- The Giants are finding ways. Wins over Dallas (28-20), Tennessee (12-7) and Arizona (36-24), a 28-6 loss to the Rams and a 27-27 tie in Washington. Jameis Winston threw for 326 and three touchdowns in the tie.
- New Orleans can’t stop the run. The Saints are 1-4 and allow 148.8 rushing yards a game, third most in the league. Cam Skattebo has 294 rushing yards for the Giants.
- The Saints’ passing game slipped. Tyler Shough threw for 410 in Week 1 but 96 with two interceptions last week in a 23-13 loss to Minnesota. Chris Olave and Alvin Kamara are questionable.
- Weather and kickoff. Sunny, 55 degrees, wind 6 mph NW (NWS hourly, checked Friday 3:00 AM ET). 1:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium, on Fox.
The Number
Last season’s points scored and allowed were worth about 6.3 wins for New Orleans and 7.1 for New York. One point of spread for every win, plus a point and a half for the home team, makes this New York by about two and a half. The board has New Orleans by a point and a half. That’s 3.8 points of daylight on New York.
The honest case against: the Giants’ passing game swings wildly, from 111 yards to 326. But they’re getting points at home against one of the worst run defenses in the league. It’s a Featured pick, still a lean like every NFL side we post, and it lands on the receipts page win or lose.
In-Game Bets
- If Skattebo is grinding early. Leave it. That’s the plan working.
- If the Saints lead by a field goal at halftime. Hold.
- If Olave is out. Good for the pick.
Bottom Line
Take the Giants plus one and a half at . Lean. Home dog that runs the ball against a defense that can’t stop it. Giants.
Same-Game Parlay
One read in three legs. If the Giants win or keep it within one, Skattebo is grinding against the third-worst run defense in the league and Isaiah Likely is catching everything underneath. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not three bets.
The angleThe Giants run it at a soft Saints front and Likely works underneath.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Lines as posted Friday at 3:00 AM ET; confirm them before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
Best Props for This Game
Bets beyond the spread, from either side of the ball. Every one has a trend, a matchup and a real price behind it. These are Game Pick props, separate bets from our pick, so keep them small.
New Orleans can’t stop the run, and he’s the Giants’ workhorse.
- Trend2 of his last 3: 60, 58 and 59 rushing yards
- MatchupThe Saints allow 148.8 rushing yards a game, third most
He’s scored in each of the last two weeks.
- TrendScored in 2 of his last 3
- MatchupNew Orleans allows 212.2 net passing yards a game
He’s thrown for 250 or more in two straight.
- Trend2 of his last 3: 118, 250 and 326 passing yards
- MatchupNew Orleans allows 212.2 net passing yards a game
Seven and 11 catches the last two weeks, at plus money.
- Trend2 of his last 3: 2, 7 and 11 catches
- MatchupHe’s become Winston’s favorite short target
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