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Steph and Luka on a Wednesday night in LA, and the Warriors are getting six and a half without Jimmy Butler or Kristaps Porzingis. I’ll take the points. Curry tweaked his ankle in practice Sunday but is expected to be fine, and he can still swing a game by himself.
The Matchup
- Tonight’s injury report. Stephen Curry (ankle) is probable. Golden State is also without Brandin Podziemski, and the Lakers are without Collin Sexton.
- The Lakers are Luka’s team. Luka Doncic averaged 33.5 points, 7.7 rebounds and 8.3 assists, and Austin Reaves added 23.3. LeBron James is in Philadelphia now. LA went 53-29 and 28-13 at home.
- Golden State is thin. Jimmy Butler (knee) could be back between January and February, Kristaps Porzingis is out, and Moses Moody is out until about December. Stephen Curry averaged 26.6 in 43 games.
- The market moved. The Lakers opened around 5 to 2 favorites on the moneyline and have come down to about 2 to 1.
- Tip-off. 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena, on ESPN.
The Number
Last season’s scoring margins plus two points for home court make this LA by about four and a half. The board has six and a half, so there are two points of daylight on the Warriors.
The honest case against: Luka is the best player on the floor, and the Warriors are short-handed. It’s a Game Pick, a lean, and like every pick we post, it lands on the receipts page win or lose. Our first NBA season, so these are leans while we build the record.
Bottom Line
Take the Warriors plus six and a half at . Lean. Curry and six and a half points on a night LA is laying more than our numbers say. Warriors.
Same-Game Parlay
One read in three legs. If Golden State covers, it’s because Curry has the ball in his hands all night, and with Butler and Porzingis out, the shots are his. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not three bets.
The angleCurry carries a short-handed Warriors team and keeps it close.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Lines as posted Wednesday at 4:56 PM ET, after the Wednesday injury check. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
Best Props for This Game
Bets beyond the spread, from either side. The trends come from last season’s games until this season has three in the books. These are Game Pick props, separate bets from our pick, so keep them small.
With Butler and Porzingis out, the shots are his.
- TrendCleared 24.5 in 26 of 43 games last season
- MatchupGolden State is without its second and third scorers
A steady scorer who gets open looks off Luka.
- TrendCleared 10.5 in 47 of 75 games last season
- MatchupLuka draws the defense, and Grimes shoots
He averaged 3.9 boards last season.
- TrendUnder 5.5 in 51 of 68 games last season
- Matchup5.5 is well above his average
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