Author name: Holly Yeager

Jaguars 2026 win total: BetMGM has 9.5 at +120 while DraftKings shows 8.5. Pythagorean says 11.8 wins. Our pick, the regression risk and where to shop.

Cardinals 2026 win total is 3.5. Arizona underperformed its scoring by the widest margin in the NFL but now faces the hardest schedule in football. Our half-unit Over. 21+.

Pete Carroll got exactly one season. That is what 3-14 buys when your offense finishes last in scoring and last

Jim Harbaugh has gone 11-6 twice in Los Angeles and the board wants a third. The scoreboard underneath those seasons

Texans 2026 win total is 9.5. Houston has the AFC best defense and the largest turnover margin in the NFL at plus 17. Our pick, the regression math and where to shop.

Dolphins 2026 win total is just 4.5 after Miami released Tua and Tyreek Hill and traded Jaylen Waddle. Why the Over at +130 still has value with the softest schedule.

Twelve wins got San Francisco third place in its own division. That is the NFC West. It also won two

Ravens 2026 win total is 11.5 and we are on the Under at -140. Baltimore went 8-9 when Lamar Jackson missed four games, and the Pythagorean says nine wins.

Philadelphia won the NFC East for a second straight season and then changed offensive coordinators. That tells you more about