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Chargers vs Ravens: LA Falls to 0-9
MNF · MON NOV 16 · 8:15 PM ET · ESPN
Ravens −5Spread · −108
−108BESTBet at BetMGM →02 · OUR PICK
Over 38.5Total · −115
−115Bet at FanDuel →Our edge: The Chargers are 0-8, they haven't lost a game by fewer than six, and now they fly across the country to face the guy who used to run their defense. Our score: Ravens 24, Chargers 15.
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Ravens −5
0-8 and earning every bit of it
The Chargers score 15.1 points a game. Justin Herbert has six touchdown passes and 11 interceptions, and the line has let him get sacked 31 times. They haven’t lost a single game by fewer than six points, and last week Houston hung 44 on them in their own building.
This isn’t a team losing close ones. This is a team that hasn’t figured out how to win one.
Ravens23
Chargers31Brissett plus Henry beats what Baltimore's had
Lamar Jackson is on injured reserve, and coach Jesse Minter says he expects Jacoby Brissett to start. Our season number was built mostly on Lamar’s early games, so I went with the board here, and the board has Baltimore by 5.5 too.
Baltimore has scored 13 or fewer in four straight with backups who couldn’t move it. Joe Fagnano went 10 of 18 for 60 yards with two picks last time out. A veteran like Brissett just has to hand it to Derrick Henry, who has 689 yards and eight touchdowns, behind a run game averaging 137.8 yards a game at 4.7 a carry.
Minter built the defense he's facing
Minter ran the Chargers’ defense for two seasons under Jim Harbaugh before Baltimore hired him in January, and he coached under Harbaugh at Michigan before that. He knows exactly how Harbaugh wants to play: run it and win late. That plan needs a lead, and LA hasn’t won a game all year.
Laying −215 or more with a backup quarterback is a big ask. The short spread does the same job for less.
Baltimore's defense keeps bleeding. The Ravens have allowed at least 33 points in three straight weeks. If Herbert finds that same soft middle, laying five with a backup quarterback gets real uncomfortable real fast.
Take 4.5 where you can find it. A five-point Ravens win cashes at 4.5 and only pushes at 5.
−5−108Parlays
Ravens −5.5 ALT LINESpread−105Over 38.5Total points−115
Chargers MLMoneyline+194Over 38.5Total points−115The book sets the final price. Same-game legs are linked, so it is usually lower than these estimates.
Over 38.5 total points
@ KCWk 6UNDER
@ LARWk 8UNDER
vs HOUWk 9✓ OVER
vs CINWk 7✓ OVER
@ BUFWk 8✓ OVER
vs JAXWk 9✓ OVER›Baltimore’s defense has given up 33 or more in each of its last three games. The Chargers’ games have gone over 38.5 in six of eight, including that 44-22 mess against Houston.
Our numbers land at 39. A Ravens defense this leaky gives even LA’s offense enough to clear a total this low. Give me the over.
O 38.5−115Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets
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Ravens live spreadIFMAYBEFewer than 7 points are scored in the first quarterOver live total21+. One live bet per trigger. Live odds move fast, so check the price before you bet.
Does Minter bury his old team, or do the Chargers finally get off the mat?
Tell me I'm wrong.
Ravens Flock, let's go.