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I’ll take Tennessee plus seven and a half at home. Both teams are 0-4, and laying more than a touchdown on the road with a winless team is a lot. Our numbers make Houston less than a field goal favorite. It’s a lean.
The Number
Our preview had Houston at 9.5 wins and Tennessee at 3.8. One point of spread for every win, plus three for the home team, makes this Houston by 2.7. The board has Houston by seven and a half. That’s 4.8 points of daylight on the Titans. We cut that gap in half, because a preseason number knows less in October than it thinks it does, which leaves 2.4 points. That’s a real disagreement, but every NFL side on this week’s board is a lean.
The line opened at six and a half and has gone up to seven and a half, with about seven in ten bets on Houston. That move hands us an extra point.
The Matchup
The Texans have three offensive tackles and a guard listed as questionable, and receiver Tank Dell is out. Will Anderson Jr. and Azeez Al-Shaair are both off the injury report, so the defense is close to full strength. C.J. Stroud has thrown for at least 241 yards in two of his last three, so Houston can move it. But the Titans have Tony Pollard healthy after a full practice Friday, and he’s cleared 49 rushing yards in two of his last three. A home team that runs the ball can keep this inside a touchdown, but a healthy Anderson is why it stays a lean.
Bottom Line
Take Tennessee plus seven and a half at . Lean. Our numbers make Houston a small road favorite, and the board asks seven and a half from a team that hasn’t won yet. Houston’s talent edge keeps it a lean.
Same-Game Parlay
Three legs, one read: Tennessee covers by running Pollard while Houston gets its passing yards. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not three bets.
The anglePollard runs, Stroud gets his yards, and Tennessee stays within a touchdown.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Lines as posted Friday at 5:00 PM ET; confirm them before you build the ticket. Player props not available in all states.
Best Props for This Game
He’s cleared this in two of his last three games, and he practiced fully Friday.
- Trend2 of 3: 74, 64 and 48
- MatchupHouston’s front has several starters questionable
He’s cleared this in two of his last three.
- Trend2 of 3: 347, 353 and 167
- MatchupTennessee’s pass defense has given up yards all year
Prices checked Friday at 5:00 PM ET. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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