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I’ll take Indianapolis plus two and a half in Pittsburgh. Our numbers make this close to a pick’em, and getting points with Jonathan Taylor against a soft run defense is the side I want. It’s a lean.
The Number
Our preview had Indianapolis at 9.7 wins and Pittsburgh at 8. One point of spread for every win, plus three for the home team, makes this Pittsburgh by 1.3. The board has Pittsburgh by two and a half. That’s 1.2 points of daylight on the Colts. We cut that gap in half, because a preseason number knows less in October than it thinks it does, which leaves 0.6 points. That’s a small edge, so it’s a lean.
The line opened at three and has come down to two and a half, with about two thirds of the bets and six in ten dollars on Indianapolis.
The Matchup
Jonathan Taylor has cleared 84 rushing yards in two of his last three games, and Pittsburgh allows 113 rushing yards a game. Josh Downs has topped 57 receiving yards in two of his last three. The Steelers are banged up in the secondary, with Jamel Dean out and Jalen Ramsey questionable, and running back Rico Dowdle is questionable with a toe injury. The Colts have Keenan Allen questionable, but Taylor and Downs are healthy.
Bottom Line
Take Indianapolis plus two and a half at . Lean. Our numbers make Pittsburgh barely a favorite at home, and the board gives the Colts two and a half. Small edge, healthy running back, lean.
Same-Game Parlay
Three legs, one read: Indianapolis stays in it because Taylor runs and Downs gets open against a thin secondary. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not three bets.
The angleTaylor runs on Pittsburgh and Downs beats a banged-up secondary.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Lines as posted Friday at 5:00 PM ET; confirm them before you build the ticket. Player props not available in all states.
Best Props for This Game
He’s cleared this in two of his last three games.
- Trend2 of 3: 92, 68 and 95
- MatchupPittsburgh allows 113 rushing yards a game
He’s cleared this in two of his last three.
- Trend2 of 3: 77, 72 and 16
- MatchupDean is doubtful and Ramsey questionable for Pittsburgh
Prices checked Friday at 5:00 PM ET. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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