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Green Bay has won three straight, and Detroit’s pass defense has given up the most yards in the league. Now the Lions are missing both starting safeties? I’ll take Jordan Love and the hook. Go Pack Go.
The Matchup
- Green Bay is rolling. The Packers are 4-2 and have won three straight: 17-14 in Tampa, 31-7 over Chicago and 23-13 over Dallas.
- Detroit can’t defend the pass. The Lions allow 297.4 passing yards a game, the most in the NFL, and safeties Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph are listed out.
- Love has weapons. Jordan Love has 1,684 yards and 11 touchdowns. Christian Watson has 538 yards and 6 touchdowns, and Matthew Golden has 501 yards.
- Detroit’s offense is still elite. Jared Goff has 12 touchdowns and no interceptions, and Jahmyr Gibbs has 504 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns.
- Kickoff. 4:25 PM ET at Ford Field, on Fox.
The Number
The board has Detroit by three and a half. With the Lions’ secondary this banged up and Green Bay playing its best football, the hook is worth having.
It’s a Game Pick, a lean. Our NFL side numbers only showed an edge in Weeks 1 through 6, so from Week 7 on every side is a lean, and like every pick we post, it lands on the receipts page win or lose. The honest case against: Goff hasn’t thrown a pick all year, and Detroit at home is a tough out.
In-Game Bets
- If Detroit scores early. Don’t chase. This matchup favors Love’s arm all game.
- If Green Bay leads at halftime. Leave it.
- If Gibbs is running wild. That’s the Lions’ best path. Don’t add to the lean.
Bottom Line
Take the Packers plus three and a half at . Lean. Three straight wins, and Detroit is missing both safeties. Go Pack Go.
Lines as posted Friday at 10:50 AM ET. Injury designations are from the latest report; final reports and inactives can change things, so check before kickoff.
Same-Game Parlay
One read in two legs. If Green Bay covers, Love is throwing all over a secondary missing its two starting safeties. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not two bets.
The angleLove carves up a short-handed Detroit secondary.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Lines as posted Friday at 10:50 AM ET; confirm them before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
Best Props for This Game
Bets beyond the spread, from either side of the ball. Every one has a trend, a matchup and a real price behind it. These are Game Pick props, separate bets from our pick, so keep them small.
Green Bay’s deep threat against the league’s worst pass defense.
- TrendOver in 3 of 6: 147, 96 and 143 yards in those games
- MatchupDetroit allows 297.4 passing yards a game, the most in the NFL
He’s topped 300 three times already.
- Trend2 of 3: 197, 367 and 276 yards
- MatchupBranch and Kerby Joseph are listed out for Detroit
He’s been a steady target.
- Trend3 of 3: 6, 5 and 5 catches
- MatchupDetroit’s safeties are out, which opens the middle
Prices checked Friday at 10:50 AM ET. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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