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The Chiefs are 5-0, have allowed 83 points, and they’re getting points on Sunday night? Seattle has lost two straight. I’ll take Mahomes and the points.
The Matchup
- Kansas City is unbeaten. The Chiefs are 5-0, and they’ve allowed 83 points, the fewest in the league. They beat the Chargers 22-6 last time out.
- Walker is rolling. Kenneth Walker III has 665 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns, and he’s scored in three straight games.
- Seattle is sliding. The Seahawks are 3-3 and lost 32-29 to San Francisco and 17-14 in Denver. Sam Darnold has 7 interceptions.
- JSN is still JSN. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 717 yards and 7 touchdowns, and Seattle allows the fewest passing yards in the league.
- Weather and kickoff. 55 degrees with a chance of light rain and wind around 3 mph (NWS hourly, checked Friday). 8:20 PM ET at Lumen Field, on NBC. Rashee Rice is out.
The Number
The board has Seattle by two and a half at home. Kansas City has been the better team all year, especially on defense, and a field-goal-or-less spread puts the points on the unbeaten team.
It’s a Game Pick, a lean. Our NFL side numbers only showed an edge in Weeks 1 through 6, so from Week 7 on every side is a lean, and like every pick we post, it lands on the receipts page win or lose. The honest case against: Lumen Field is loud at night, Seattle’s pass defense has been the best in football, and Rashee Rice is out.
In-Game Bets
- If Seattle’s pass rush gets home early. The pick still stands. Walker and the defense have carried this team.
- If Seattle leads by seven at halftime. Hold. Mahomes in the second half is a problem for anyone.
- If Darnold throws an early pick. Don’t add. A lean doesn’t need a second bet.
Bottom Line
Take the Chiefs plus two and a half at . Lean. Unbeaten, rested defense, and getting points. Chiefs Kingdom.
Lines as posted Friday at 10:50 AM ET. Injury designations are from the latest report; final reports and inactives can change things, so check before kickoff.
Same-Game Parlay
One read in two legs. If Kansas City covers, Walker is probably grinding out yards and the clock. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not two bets.
The angleWalker runs, the Chiefs control the clock and cover.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Lines as posted Friday at 10:50 AM ET; confirm them before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
Best Props for This Game
Bets beyond the spread, from either side of the ball. Every one has a trend, a matchup and a real price behind it. These are Game Pick props, separate bets from our pick, so keep them small.
He’s the engine of the Chiefs’ offense.
- TrendOver in 4 of 5: 173, 117, 177 and 128; 70 in the other
- MatchupSeattle’s pass defense is elite, so the Chiefs lean on the run
Seattle’s best player, and he gets volume every week.
- TrendOver in 5 of 6: 122, 155, 128, 102 and 134
- MatchupKansas City allows 217 passing yards a game, middle of the pack
He’s scored in three straight.
- TrendScored in 3 of his last 3, and 4 of 5
- MatchupKansas City runs it near the goal line
Prices checked Friday at 10:50 AM ET. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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