VS

Hogs Win Big. Thirty-One and a Half Is Still a Lot.

COLLEGE HOOPS · RMU AT #19 ARK · WED NOV 11 · 8:00 PM ET · SECN+ · Fayetteville · FINAL RMU 53, ARK 76
SLATELINES PICKS 21+ · sportsbook links pay us a commission

Our edge: No. 19 Arkansas is going to win this game, probably by 20. The board wants 31 and a half. That's where we get off the bus and take the Colonials.

21+. SlateLines earns a commission from sportsbook links. Check availability in your state. Odds as written Nov 11, 11:21 AM ET.

COMPARE ODDSBest price highlighted
OUR PICKSFanDuelFanaticsBetMGM
Robert Morris +31.5n/an/a
Under 156.5n/an/a

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01 · POINT SPREADOUR PICK

Robert Morris +31.5

Our number: ARK −20 · Line: ARK −31.5

Hogs by 20. Arkansas wins big, but 31 and a half is a lot of points. Robert Morris covers.

Yes, the Hogs win big

Nobody’s arguing that. Robert Morris coughed it up 19 times in an 86-49 loss at Nevada, then 20 more times in a 79-56 loss at UIC. At Nevada the Colonials made 13 of 49 shots. That’s 27 percent.

And Bud Walton feasts on that stuff. In the home opener the Hogs forced 24 turnovers and turned them into 45 points on the break in a 106-61 win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Jeremiah Wilkinson had 23 points and five steals in 21 minutes. Jordan Smith Jr. has 39 points in two games. The Hogs are going to win this one going away.

Robert Morris39
Arkansas20
Robert Morris: 39 turnovers in two games. Arkansas: 20 steals in two games. 2026-27 season through Nov 10 (ESPN box scores)

But 31 and a half is a lot of points

Covering this means beating a Division I team by 32. Robert Morris won 22 of 33 games against Division I teams last season, and it’s a lot better than the Pine Bluff team the Hogs ran out of the building. Arkansas also just lost by 19 to Virginia in D.C., where it turned it over 15 times and gave up 12 threes. This roster is still figuring things out.

Then there’s the clock. Once it’s 25 up with ten minutes left, the walk-ons check in and the margin stops growing. Robert Morris also went 20 of 23 at the line at Nevada, so a foul-heavy second half helps them hang around. We have the Hogs by 20. Give me the Colonials and the points. It lands on the receipts page win or lose. Parlays aren’t tracked there.

How this blows up on me

The turnover avalanche If Robert Morris hands it over 20 times again, the Hogs can be up 30 at halftime and the backups keep pouring it on. That’s the whole case against us, and it’s a real one. Arkansas forced 24 turnovers in its opener.

02 · PARLAYSSAME GAME

Parlays

MOST LIKELY2-Leg Same Game ParlaySGP

Arkansas cruises with the bench closing it out, and the scoring dries up late.

RMU @ ARK · WED 8:00 PM
Colonials +31.5Spread−115
Under 156.5Total points−105
PRICESet in the builder
BIG CHANCE $$2-Leg Same Game ParlaySGP

The Colonials finally hold on to the ball and slow it to a crawl, and Bud Walton goes quiet. It would take a miracle, which is why it's here. This is the Crazy Bet. For fun, small money.

RMU @ ARK · WED 8:00 PM
Robert Morris MLMoneyline+9000
Under 157.5 ALT LINETotal points−115
PRICESet in the builder

Same-game legs are linked, so the book prices the ticket in its own builder. Check the number there before you place it.

03 · TOTAL POINTSOVER / UNDER · OUR PICK

Under 156.5 total points

Our numbers: Arkansas 82, Robert Morris 62. Est. total 144, 12.5 under the line.

Hogs win, Colonials cover. Woo Pig Sooie.

WHO YOU GOT?

Do the Hogs cover 31 and a half at Bud Walton?

Who you got? Tell me I'm wrong.

ColonialsRazorbacks