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Oettinger and the Stars Shut the Door
NHL · THU NOV 12 · 8:00 PM ET · American Airlines Center · FINAL WPG 8, DAL 3Goalies: Skinner (Confirmed) vs Oettinger (Confirmed)
Stars MLMoneyline · −172
−172Bet at FanDuel →Our edge: Dallas doesn't give you anything. Under 23 shots a night against, and a penalty kill that almost never breaks. Now Jake Oettinger is confirmed in net. Winnipeg leaks goals on the road. At -172, the Stars are still cheaper than they should be. Give me Dallas.
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Stars ML
Our number: DAL 74%
Dallas smothers people
The Stars allow 22.9 shots a game and give up under two and a half goals a night. They kill 89.7% of penalties and have allowed only six power-play goals all season. Their own power play scores on 27.5% of its chances.
The scoring is spread out
Mikko Rantanen has nine goals and 21 points, and Wyatt Johnston has 13 assists. Dallas has won six of ten at home and beat San Jose 4-3 last time out.
Winnipeg has one big weapon
Kyle Connor has 15 goals and 21 points, and Mark Scheifele has 15 assists. But the Jets give up about three and a half goals a game and kill only 73.7% of penalties. They’ve won three of nine on the road. They were blanked 7-0 in Carolina recently.
Our numbers have the Stars winning about 74% of the time. The price says closer to 61%. That’s the biggest gap on Thursday’s board.
What scares me: no Heiskanen means Dallas is thinner on the back end than usual, and Connor only needs one or two looks to change a game.
Take the Stars on the moneyline at −172 at FanDuel. The tighter team with the better goalie, at home. It lands on the receipts page win or lose. Go Stars.
Stars ML−172Parlays
Oettinger and the Dallas penalty kill keep this one low, and the Stars win it.
Stars MLMoneyline−172
Under 5.5Total goals+100Same-game legs are linked, so the book prices the ticket in its own builder. Check the number there before you place it.
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Picks are opinion and analysis, not financial advice. Odds move; confirm at the book.