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Keep Pounding. Jalen Hurts is out, the Birds have lost three straight, and Bryce Young has been dealing. I know the Linc gets loud, but I’m laying the three and a half with Carolina. When a starting quarterback sits in a close game, our injury rule says ignore the number.
The Matchup
- Hurts is out. Jalen Hurts has been ruled out. He was 21 of 40 for 220 yards in last week’s 19-17 loss at Jacksonville. That’s why this line moved: our numbers don’t know about injuries, and this gap is mostly that.
- Philly has lost three straight. After starting 2-0, the Eagles lost 27-7 at Chicago, 24-20 to the Rams and 19-17 in Jacksonville. They’re scoring 18.4 a game.
- Carolina can throw it. Bryce Young has thrown for 287, 291 and 329 yards in his last three. The Panthers are 2-2 off their bye, and they allow 156.5 rushing yards a game, second most in the league.
- Weather and kickoff. Sunny, 55 degrees, wind 5 mph N (NWS hourly, checked Friday 3:00 AM ET). 1:00 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field, on CBS.
The Number
Last season’s points scored and allowed were worth about 6.5 wins for Carolina and 10.0 for Philadelphia. One point of spread for every win, plus a point and a half for the home team, makes this Philadelphia by five. The board has Carolina by three and a half. That’s 8.5 points of daylight on Philadelphia.
That daylight is Hurts. Our numbers were built with him, and when a starting quarterback is out in a game inside ten points, our injury rule overrides them. So the pick goes with the board: Carolina. The honest case against: Carolina’s run defense is the second worst in football, and the Philly line can lean on it even with Saquon Barkley ruled out. Because the rule overrides our tested method, this is a Game Pick, not a Featured pick, and it lands on the receipts page win or lose.
In-Game Bets
- If Philly runs it well early. Hold. Barkley is out, and the backups have to prove it.
- If Philly leads early. Hold. Young has thrown for 285 or more three straight weeks.
- If Carolina leads at halftime. Leave it.
Bottom Line
Take the Panthers minus three and a half at . Lean. Philly without its quarterback, and a Carolina passing game that’s rolling. Panthers.
Same-Game Parlay
One read in three legs. If Carolina covers, Young is carving up a Philly defense that allows the seventh most passing yards in the league, and Darren Waller is part of it. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not three bets.
The angleYoung carves up Philly through the air with Waller involved, and Carolina pulls away.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Lines as posted Friday at 3:00 AM ET; confirm them before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
Best Props for This Game
Bets beyond the spread, from either side of the ball. Every one has a trend, a matchup and a real price behind it. These are Game Pick props, separate bets from our pick, so keep them small.
He’s been over 285 three straight games.
- Trend3 of his last 3: 287, 291 and 329 passing yards
- MatchupPhiladelphia allows 238.8 net passing yards a game, seventh most
A steady target over 30 yards three weeks running.
- Trend3 of his last 3: 33, 51 and 36 receiving yards
- MatchupPhiladelphia allows 238.8 net passing yards a game
He’s been over 80 in two of his last three.
- Trend2 of his last 3: 53, 82 and 122 rushing yards
- MatchupPhiladelphia allows 118 rushing yards a game
A long shot who has scored four times in three games.
- TrendScored in 3 of his last 3
- MatchupPhilly will need to throw it with a backup, and he’s been the end-zone target
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