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I’ll take the Chargers plus three and a half at home. They’re 0-4, but our numbers still make them a small favorite against Denver, and the board has them getting more than a field goal. It’s a lean.
The Number
Our preview had Denver at 11 wins and the Chargers at 9.3. One point of spread for every win, plus three for the home team, makes this the Chargers by 1.3. The board has Denver by three and a half. That’s 4.8 points of daylight on the Chargers. We cut that gap in half, because a preseason number knows less in October than it thinks it does, which leaves 2.4 points. That’s a real disagreement, but every NFL side on this week’s board is a lean.
The line opened at two and a half and has moved to three and a half, so we’re getting an extra point. The bets are split almost evenly.
The Matchup
The Chargers lost left tackle Rashawn Slater for four to six weeks, safety Derwin James is out, and Ladd McConkey is questionable. But Omarion Hampton has cleared 37 rushing yards in all three of his last games, and the Broncos allow 143 rushing yards a game, one of the worst marks in the league. Denver is also thin at corner, with Pat Surtain II and Riley Moss both out. A home team that can run the ball against a weak run defense is a good bet to keep this within a field goal.
Bottom Line
Take the Chargers plus three and a half at . Lean. Our numbers make the Chargers a small home favorite, and the board gives them three and a half. The 0-4 start and the Slater injury keep it a lean.
Same-Game Parlay
Three legs, one read: the Chargers stay close by running Hampton at a defense that can’t stop the run. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not three bets.
The angleHampton runs on Denver and the Chargers keep it inside the number.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Lines as posted Friday at 5:00 PM ET; confirm them before you build the ticket. Player props not available in all states.
Best Props for This Game
He’s cleared this in all three of his last games.
- Trend3 of 3: 45, 56 and 94
- MatchupDenver allows 143 rushing yards a game
His workload has grown, with 15 and 23 carries in his last two.
- Trend2 of 3: 9, 15 and 23
- MatchupA team that runs well should keep running
Prices checked Friday at 5:00 PM ET. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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