Shedeur Wins in the Dome

The Browns live in close games, and they keep winning them

Cleveland’s five wins: 23-19 at Tampa, 21-18 over Carolina, 27-24 over Pittsburgh, 13-10 over Baltimore and 27-24 at Tennessee. Every one by four points or fewer. The Browns also haven’t lost two in a row all season, and they’re coming off a 27-6 beating in Pittsburgh.

That’s the profile of a team that hangs around, and the market is hanging a field goal and the hook on a team that’s 2-5. Give me the Browns.

The Superdome hasn't been home

New Orleans is winless in the Superdome this season and 0-4 as the designated home team, counting the loss to the Steelers in Paris. The home losses gave up 35 to the Raiders and 45 to the Falcons. The Saints have also been outscored 44-6 in the first quarter, which means they spend every Sunday playing from behind.

Shedeur gets the keys

Deshaun Watson is in the concussion protocol, and coach Todd Monken says Shedeur Sanders starts even if Watson is active. That’s not a downgrade from where I sit. Watson hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass in his last three games. Sanders went 3-4 as a rookie starter, and he gets a New Orleans defense that ranks 28th in yards allowed at 372.7 a game.

And watch Harold Fannin Jr. The tight end caught 10 balls for 154 yards last week and has at least six catches for 90-plus in each of his last two. A quarterback in his first start of the year looks for the big guy over the middle. Fannin over 4.5 catches.

The Saints can't run the ball

New Orleans runs for 86 yards a game, 29th in the league, and ran 17 times for 18 yards in Paris. The run game coordinator got fired over the bye. Kendre Miller has been under 35.5 rushing yards in five of his last six games. Under on Miller, and the under 42.5 rides with it: five of Cleveland’s eight games have stayed under that number, and both teams start games like they’re still in the tunnel.