Detroit Rolls in Miami

Detroit has the best offense in football

The Lions have the No. 1 offense in the league and score 29 points a game. Jared Goff has 15 touchdown passes and one interception, and he’s thrown a touchdown in 30 straight games, the longest streak since Patrick Mahomes. Detroit has won three straight.

Our numbers have Detroit by 11. The board says six and a half. Give me the Lions laying it.

Miami can't score and can't rush the passer

The Dolphins are 1-6 and score 16.7 points a game. Their defense has nine sacks, tied for 30th in the league, so Goff gets to stand back there all afternoon. De’Von Achane is on injured reserve with a torn ACL. Miami has the youngest roster in the NFL and plays hard every week, which is great. Playing hard doesn’t score 25 points.

Gibbs is rolling

Jahmyr Gibbs has 773 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. He’s gone over 98.5 rushing yards in three straight games, with 151 at Arizona and 153 last week. He had 29 and 23 carries the last two weeks. Miami’s run defense is middle of the pack, and when Detroit gets a lead, Gibbs gets the ball over and over to finish it.

Gibbs over 98.5 is the prop.

Detroit is banged up. Miami can't make it pay.

The Lions defense is short. Jack Campbell is doubtful after his neck injury last week, Kerby Joseph is out, and Brian Branch and D.J. Reed are questionable. Amon-Ra St. Brown is questionable with sore ribs. That’s real. But this Miami offense hasn’t scored more than 28 all year, and Detroit can win this game with Gibbs and Goff alone.