NFL · WEEK 9 · MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Bills by 10. Wentz Can't Keep Up.

BILLS AT VIKINGS · MON NOV 9 · 8:15 PM ET

Carson Wentz against Josh Allen? This one gets ugly. Bills by 10.

Bills
6-1
AT
Vikings
6-1
MON NOV 98:15 PM ETESPN/ABCMINNEAPOLIS
THE CALL

Bills by 10.

The host's call
OUR NUMBERS · FINAL SCORELINE: BUF −3 · O/U 43.5
BUF27
–
MIN17
EST. TOTAL440.5 over the line
INSIGHT 01

Nobody has held Buffalo under 24

Seven games, seven times with 24 or more. The Bills score 33.3 a game at 8.7 yards a pass. They’ve also come away with points on every red-zone trip this season. Minnesota’s defense is legit. It also hasn’t seen anything like this.

Buffalo offense33.3Points per game
VS
Minnesota offense20.0Points per game
2026 season, through 7 games each
INSIGHT 02

Carson Wentz in a shootout? Good luck.

Kyler Murray (hamstring) won’t play, so Wentz starts. This offense already throws for just 185.4 yards a game at 6.7 a pass. Justin Jefferson has 335 receiving yards all season. Jauan Jennings (calf) is out too. Minnesota hasn’t topped 23 points since opening day. That’s why I’m on Wentz under 211.5 passing yards.

INSIGHT 03

Allen and Cook live in the end zone

Josh Allen has nine rushing touchdowns and has scored on the ground in six of seven games. James Cook has a rushing touchdown in six straight and 707 yards on the year. Buffalo gets to the red zone, and one of those two walks in. Usually both.

INSIGHT 04

These Bills love a road trip

Buffalo is 3-0 on the road this year, and the only loss was 29-26 at home to New England. Last week Allen threw for 289 yards and two scores in a 36-10 beatdown of Baltimore. Give me the Bills laying three.

Our PickSpread · BUF at MIN
Bills −3

The menu

EVERY BET I'D MAKE HERE

The parlays

GOOD-CHANCE PARLAY2 LEGS

Cook has scored six weeks in a row. I'm not getting cute on Monday night.

Bills −3−115
James Cook anytime touchdown−105

EST. +265 · the book sets the final price

CRAZY PARLAY · JUST FOR FUN · SMALL MONEY

Allen plows one in, then finds Kincaid, who caught a touchdown last week against Baltimore. Crazy Bet, for fun, small money.

Josh Allen anytime touchdown−120
Dalton Kincaid anytime touchdown+290

EST. +615 · the book sets the final price

HOW THIS BLOWS UP ON ME

That Minnesota defense is the real thing.

The Vikings allow 13.3 points a game and have 25 sacks, and Buffalo’s left tackle, Dion Dawkins, is questionable with a rib injury, along with his backup, Alec Anderson. If the edge rushers live in Allen’s lap, this turns into a field-goal game.

WHO YOU GOT?

Can Carson Wentz keep up with Josh Allen on Monday night?

Who you got? Tell me I'm wrong.

BillsVikings

Go Bills.