Miami Covered. The Game Day Parlay Hit.
FRIDAY TO SUNDAY · MNF STILL TO COME26-23 on our main picks before Monday night. Some of it was beautiful. Some of it I'd like back.
Miami lost. Miami covered. I'll take it.
I said Miami wins outright. Wrong. Notre Dame won 31-24. But we had the Canes +7.5, and a seven-point loss is a cover all day. The under 55.5 landed on 55. Half a point. Close and low, just like we said, minus the part where Miami wins.
Georgia, Tennessee, Texas and Miami all covered. Georgia hung 42 on Ole Miss and gave up seven. Tennessee beat Kentucky 34-6, and the luck finally ran out on those one-point Kentucky wins.
The misses hurt. Oregon and Ohio State combined for 69 points on our under 45.5, which is not a rock fight, it’s a track meet. Alabama went into Baton Rouge and won 31-13 with LSU laying points. BYU lost by eight at Utah.
Sunday: Burrow in Madrid, and a Browns cover in overtime
Joe Burrow threw for 271 yards and three touchdowns, ran another one in, and the Bengals rolled the Falcons 34-17. Tee Higgins caught two of those scores.
The Browns lost 23-22 in overtime and still covered +3.5. Cleveland fans, I know. The Lions won 19-9 in Miami. The Texans put 44 on the Chargers. The Niners beat the Raiders by 21. Denver won ugly again, 26-21 in Carolina.
The Cowboys won by four on a five-point spread. The Bears won by three on a six-point spread. Those are the ones that keep you up. The Packers dropped 45 in New England. The Jets got run over in Kansas City. Arizona scored three points all day in Seattle, and the Rams held off Washington.
On totals we went 1-2. Giants-Eagles stayed under 38.5 with 30. Browns-Saints and Texans-Chargers blew right past their numbers.
The flips got humbled
We flipped five calls this week in the new voice. Denver came through. Washington lost by seven. Arizona scored three. Chicago won but didn’t cover. That’s one for four, with Buffalo still to play tonight. Bold calls come with bold misses, and I’m not going to pretend otherwise.
The Game Day Parlay hit
Lions -6.5 covered by three and a half. Then the Texans covered by 16 and a half. Then the Giants finally won at the Linc, by eight. At the prices we posted, that’s about +550. Parlays aren’t tracked on our receipts, but this one deserves a mention.
Props and Crazy Bets
Anytime touchdowns went 2 for 4. Higgins scored twice and Puka Nacua caught one, while Jonathan Taylor and D’Andre Swift got blanked.
Both Crazy Bets died. The college one hit four of five legs and LSU took it down. Stack the Favorites got the Bengals and Lions covers, then Jahmyr Gibbs ran for 74 and Higgins had 32 receiving yards. Two touchdowns, but not the yards. It’s for fun and small money for a reason.
Tonight: Bills at Vikings
Carson Wentz starts for Minnesota, and Jauan Jennings is out. Buffalo has scored 24 or more in every game. We’re on the Bills -3, plus James Cook to score. Read the full Monday night breakdown.
What was your best bet of the weekend?
Who you got tonight? Tell me on TikTok or X.
See you tonight.
