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Boston has won seven of its last ten. Pittsburgh has lost six of its last ten. And somehow this game is priced like a coin flip. Better team, better goalie, even money? I’m taking that every night of the week. Bruins.
The Matchup
- Boston slams the door. The Bruins have allowed 38 goals in 16 games. David Pastrnak has 8 goals, 12 assists and 57 shots. They’ve won two straight, 5-4 in overtime over Chicago and a shootout over Vegas on Monday.
- Pittsburgh is leaking. The Penguins are 5-8-2 and have won three of their last ten. They lost 3-2 at home to Vegas on Tuesday. Evgeni Malkin and Nick Robertson lead them with 6 goals each. They’ve won four of seven at PPG Paints Arena.
- Rest. Boston last played Monday. Pittsburgh played Tuesday. Nobody’s on a back-to-back.
- Puck drop. 7:00 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena.
The Goalies
Jeremy Swayman is expected for Boston. He’s won 8 of his 12 starts and stopped 91.2% of shots.
Arturs Silovs is expected for Pittsburgh. He’s won 5 of 10 and stopped 88.8% of shots. Silovs is confirmed. Swayman isn’t yet.
The Number
The market has this at 50-50. We have Boston winning it about two times out of three. That’s the biggest gap on the board tonight, and it comes down to the guys in net: Swayman stops more than two extra pucks for every hundred shots compared to Silovs.
What scares me: Crosby and Malkin can still take over a hockey game, and when we’re this far from the market, sometimes the market knows something. It’s a Lean, and win or lose, it lands on the receipts page.
Bottom Line
Take the Bruins on the moneyline at . Lean. Better team, better goalie, coin-flip price. Let’s go Bruins.
Lines as of Thursday morning. Check both goalies before puck drop.
Same-Game Parlay
Two legs, one story. If Boston wins, Pittsburgh’s top line didn’t get loose, and Sidney Crosby has taken two shots or fewer in 11 of 15 games. Both legs ride on the same game, so it’s one bet, not two.
The angleBoston wins and keeps Crosby quiet.
Build it at BetMGM →BetMGM prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Confirm lines before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
Best Prop for This Game
Shots on goal, under first, always. It’s a Game Pick prop, a separate bet from our pick, so keep it small.
In Boston, Pastrnak takes the shots.
- Trend1 shot or fewer in 9 of 15 games
- Matchup1.7 shots a game, at about 21 minutes a night
Prices checked Thursday morning. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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