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Twelve and a half points for a 2-3 Rams team? I don’t care that the Cardinals have been bad. That’s too many. Our number has LA by about eight. Give me Big Red and all those points.
The Matchup
- The Rams are 2-3. Losses to San Francisco (27-7), at Denver (30-26) and to Buffalo (37-34); wins over the Giants and at Philadelphia. Three of their five games were decided by four points or fewer.
- Arizona has lost four straight. The Cardinals beat the Chargers 26-14 in Week 1 and haven’t won since. Detroit beat them 45-21 last week. They’re scoring 21.6 a game.
- Stafford is slinging it. Matthew Stafford has thrown for 390, 317 and 383 yards the last three weeks. Arizona allows 236.8 net passing yards a game, eighth most.
- Kickoff. 4:05 PM ET at SoFi Stadium, on Fox. Covered roof.
The Number
Last season’s points scored and allowed were worth about 5.4 wins for Arizona and 12.3 for the Rams. One point of spread for every win, plus a point and a half for the home team, makes this the Rams by about eight and a half. The board has the Rams by twelve and a half. That’s 4.1 points of daylight on Arizona.
The honest case against: Arizona has given up 30 or more in four straight games. But a team that keeps playing close games laying almost two touchdowns is the kind of spot where the dog cashes. It’s a Featured pick, still a lean like every NFL side we post, and it lands on the receipts page win or lose.
In-Game Bets
- If the Rams lead by 17 at halftime. Leave it. Garbage-time touchdowns are the dog’s friend.
- If Arizona scores first. Nothing to add.
- With Jeremiyah Love ruled out. Arizona leans on the pass even more, which fits McBride. Still hold the pick.
Bottom Line
Take the Cardinals plus twelve and a half at . Lean. Too many points for a team that plays close games. Cardinals.
Same-Game Parlay
One read in three legs. If Arizona covers, it’s a game with plenty of passing: Stafford gets his yards and Trey McBride keeps the Cardinals in it. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not three bets.
The angleStafford throws all day, Arizona keeps answering, and McBride piles up catches.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Lines as posted Friday at 3:00 AM ET; confirm them before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
Best Props for This Game
Bets beyond the spread, from either side of the ball. Every one has a trend, a matchup and a real price behind it. These are Game Pick props, separate bets from our pick, so keep them small.
Over 300 three straight weeks.
- Trend3 of his last 3: 390, 317 and 383 passing yards
- MatchupArizona allows 236.8 net passing yards a game, eighth most
Over 60 in three straight.
- Trend3 of his last 3: 62, 67 and 83 receiving yards
- MatchupArizona has given up 30 or more in four straight games
He’s become a big part of the passing game.
- Trend3 of his last 3: 70, 67 and 27 receiving yards
- MatchupArizona allows 236.8 net passing yards a game
Seven or more catches every week this year.
- Trend2 of his last 3: 9, 7 and 9 catches
- MatchupWhen Arizona trails, the ball goes to him
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