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Two nights ago, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander walked into Cleveland without Chet Holmgren or Jalen Williams and dropped 43. Now the rematch is at Paycom Center, and the line is three and a half? I’ll lay it. Thunder.
The Matchup
- Monday, part two. Oklahoma City won 117-112 in Cleveland. Gilgeous-Alexander played 39 minutes, scored 43 and handed out 8. Isaiah Hartenstein grabbed 14 rebounds. The Thunder are 5-2, with Holmgren out at least eight weeks and Williams recovering from leg surgery.
- Cleveland’s response. The Cavs are 4-3. Donovan Mitchell had 17 points and 11 assists Monday, and James Harden 14 and 6. Jaylon Tyson and Peyton Watson are both out tonight.
- Tip-off. 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center.
The Number
Our numbers have Oklahoma City by about five at home. The market has three and a half. That’s a modest gap, and it rests on our ratings, not on news, so it stays a lean.
The honest case against: this is a thin Thunder rotation, and Cleveland lost Monday by only five on its own floor. It’s a Lean, and win or lose, it lands on the receipts page.
Bottom Line
Take the Thunder at . Lean. The best player in the building, at home. Thunder Up.
Lines as of Wednesday morning, after the morning injury report. Confirm them before tip.
Same-Game Parlay
One read in two legs. With Holmgren and Williams out, Gilgeous-Alexander is the offense, and that means shots, not passes. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not two bets.
The angleGilgeous-Alexander scores and Oklahoma City covers.
Build it at BetMGM →BetMGM prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Confirm lines before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
Best Prop for This Game
One bet beyond the spread, with a trend, a matchup and a real price behind it. It’s a Game Pick prop, a separate bet from our pick, so keep it small.
He’s the whole offense right now, and that means shots, not passes.
- Trend5 assists or fewer in 7 of 8 games. He had 8 on Monday.
- MatchupAbout 4 assists a game this season, at plus money
Prices checked Wednesday morning. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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