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Rams vs Cardinals: Rams by 11, and Beck Learns Fast

WEEK 10 · SUN NOV 15 · 4:05 PM ET · CBS
SLATELINES PICKS 21+ · sportsbook links pay us a commission

Our edge: Arizona hands the ball to a rookie making his first NFL start, and he gets a Rams defense that just won three straight. Our score: Rams 26, Cardinals 15.

21+. SlateLines earns a commission from sportsbook links. Check availability in your state. Odds updated 11:50 AM ET.

COMPARE ODDSBest price highlighted · 11:50 AM ET
OUR PICKSFanDuelFanaticsBetMGM
Kyren WilliamsWilliams anytime TDn/a−165n/a

21+. Tap any price to bet it at that book. SlateLines earns a commission from sportsbook links.

01 · POINT SPREADOUR PICK

Rams −9.5

CONFIDENCE
Rams −9.5: our chance it cashes54%46%Rams −9.5  −110FanDuel›Our estimate. Not a guarantee.
Carson BeckCarson BeckARI · QB

Carson Beck's first start, against this?

Gardner Minshew hurt his elbow in Seattle and probably needs season-ending surgery, according to ESPN. So Carson Beck, who spent the first eight weeks as the emergency third quarterback, is expected to start. His NFL debut comes against a Rams defense that has given up 43 points total over its last three games, all wins.

Our numbers had the Rams by 10.7 before any of this, built on a full season of Arizona football with veteran quarterbacks. Swapping in a rookie doesn’t make the Cardinals better.

Points allowed per game
Rams20.1
Cardinals28.3
2026 season through Week 9 (ESPN team stats)
Michael WilsonMichael WilsonARI · WR

Arizona just lost its best receiver too

Michael Wilson is done for the year with a fractured vertebra in his neck. He had 51 catches for 546 yards. That leaves Trey McBride and not much else for a passing game that already averages 5.8 yards an attempt, and an offense that scored three points in Seattle last week.

On the other side, Arizona has given up 255 points in nine games and has three interceptions all year. Matthew Stafford won’t have to force anything.

Yes, Arizona beat them in October

I know. The Cardinals won 18-16 in LA back in Week 6. That was a different Arizona team, with a veteran under center and Michael Wilson on the field. The Rams have won three of their four road games this year, and now they get a division rival that beat them and then lost its quarterback and its top receiver in the same week. Revenge game against a rookie. Do the math.

Moneyline: who winsSPREAD IS THE BETTER BUY

At −430 or worse the moneyline pays next to nothing. We have the Rams by 11, so lay the points.

Best price: −475 at FanaticsFanatics
How this blows up on me

The Rams offense stalls. They scored 20 in Washington last week, and Stafford averaged 5.3 yards a throw doing it. Puka Nacua is banged up, and if LA bogs down in the red zone, Arizona sneaks in a backdoor score and lands inside the number.

Shop the number

Grab −9 if you can find it. A nine-point Rams win pushes there instead of losing at 9.5.

−9.5−110FanDuel
02 · PARLAYSSAME GAME

Parlays

MOST LIKELY2-Leg Same Game ParlaySGP
LAR @ ARI · SUN 4:05 PM
Rams −9.5Spread−110
Kyren Williams anytime TDPlayer prop−165
EST. ODDS+207
Build this ticketFanDuel
CRAZY BET2-Leg Same Game ParlaySGP
LAR @ ARI · SUN 4:05 PM
Rams D/ST anytime TDPlayer prop+420
Matthew Stafford anytime TDPlayer prop+2500
EST. ODDS+13420
Build this ticketFanDuel

The book sets the final price. Same-game legs are linked, so it is usually lower than these estimates.

03 · PLAYER PROPSOUR PICK

Kyren Williams anytime touchdown

Kyren WilliamsKyren WilliamsLAR · RBScored in four of his last six games

Kyren has six rushing touchdowns and has scored in four of his last six games, including two in Philadelphia. The Rams turn 88.6% of their red-zone trips into points, and when they get close, it’s Kyren’s ball. With Puka Nacua banged up, expect even more of the run game near the goal line.

Kyren Williams: last 5 gamesTO SCORE: YES
1
0
1
1
0
BUFWk 5✓ SCORED
ARIWk 6NO
LVWk 7✓ SCORED
LACWk 8✓ SCORED
WSHWk 9NO
Scored in 3 of the last 5 games.Kyren Williams anytime touchdown  −165Fanatics›
Kyren WilliamsAnytime TD−165Fanatics
04 · LIVEIN-GAME

If this happens, tap that

Set before kickoff. Keep this open during the game. When one hits, tap it.

DON'T CHASEIf Kyren hasn't scored by halftime, don't go hunting another touchdown prop. The ticket is the ticket.

21+. One live bet per trigger. Live odds move fast, so check the price before you bet.

WHO YOU GOT?

Does a rookie in his first start keep Arizona within single digits?

Tell me I'm wrong.

RamsCardinals

Whose house? Rams house.