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Seahawks vs Raiders: Welcome to Sundays, Rookie
WEEK 10 · SUN NOV 15 · 4:05 PM ET · CBS
Seahawks −4.5Spread · −110
−110BESTBet at FanDuel →02 · OUR PICK
Smith-Njigba anytime TDProp · −110
−110Bet at Fanatics →Our edge: Vegas shipped its starting quarterback to Minnesota, so the No. 1 pick makes his first NFL start against a defense that allows 18 a game. Our score: Seahawks 24, Raiders 18.
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Seahawks −4.5
CONFIDENCE
Seahawks −4.5 −110›Our estimate. Not a guarantee.The Raiders just traded their quarterback
Kirk Cousins started all nine games for Las Vegas. On Tuesday the Raiders sent him to Minnesota for a 2027 third-round pick, and ESPN reports No. 1 pick Fernando Mendoza is now set to start Sunday with Aidan O’Connell behind him. Cousins threw 20 touchdowns. Mendoza hasn’t started an NFL game.
His first one comes against a Seattle defense that allows 18 points a game and has taken the ball away 13 times. Kansas City and Arizona both scored three points against these guys. Rough draw for a kid’s first Sunday.
Seahawks110.8
Raiders71.3No run game to bail him out
A rookie quarterback needs a ground game. Las Vegas averages 2.9 yards a carry. Not a typo. Ashton Jeanty has 362 yards on 114 carries, and he got six carries for 25 yards in San Francisco last week. When you can’t run, the defense sits on the pass, and now the guy throwing it is seeing a real NFL defense for the first time.
Seattle’s backup has been just fine, too. Coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that Drew Lock starts again while Sam Darnold heals. Seattle has won all three games Lock played most of this year, and he’s thrown five touchdowns without a turnover.
Vegas gives up 30 every week
The Raiders have allowed 30 or more points in six straight games. New England hung 45 on them, and San Francisco put up 38 last week. Coach Klint Kubiak spent Monday defending his defensive coordinator, which tells you plenty. One of these defenses shows up every week. The other one is getting a vote of confidence, and now it gets less help from its own offense.
Nearly −300 for a road favorite is too rich. Lay the spread instead.
Seattle's line is held together with tape. Guard Quenton Nelson is doubtful after a knee procedure, and left tackle Charles Cross didn't play last week either. If Seattle can't block anybody and the No. 1 pick finds Brock Bowers early, a fired-up home crowd keeps this inside the number.
The line has jumped to −6.5 since we posted, past our number, so don't lay the extra two points.
−4.5−110Parlays
Seahawks −4.5Spread−115Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime TDPlayer prop−110Seahawks D/ST anytime TDPlayer prop+420Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime TDPlayer prop−110The book sets the final price. Same-game legs are linked, so it is usually lower than these estimates.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime touchdown
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · WRNine touchdown catches in nine gamesJSN has nine touchdown catches in nine games and 1,036 yards. He’s scored in half of his last six games, and he’s seen double-digit targets in four of them. Lock completed 19 passes in Arizona last week and looked for JSN 10 times. Near the goal line, Seattle’s best play is throwing it to the best receiver in the building.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: last 5 gamesTO SCORE: YES
SFWk 5✓ SCORED
DENWk 6NO
KCWk 7✓ SCORED
CHIWk 8✓ SCORED
ARIWk 9NO›Anytime TD−110Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets
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Seahawks live spreadIFMAYBESeattle leads by a field goal or less at halftimeSeahawks second-half spread21+. One live bet per trigger. Live odds move fast, so check the price before you bet.
Does the No. 1 pick shock Seattle in his first start, or does he get a rude welcome?
Tell me I'm wrong.
Go Hawks.