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Boston has won six of its seven home games, has allowed 36 goals in 15 games, and gets Jeremy Swayman in goal. The market still has Vegas as a small favorite. Our ratings have the Bruins closer to 64%, so at even money we’ll take the home team. Bruins.
The Matchup
- Boston at home. The Bruins have won 10 of their 15 games, with 55 goals for and 36 against, and six of seven at TD Garden. They beat Chicago 5-4 in overtime on Saturday. David Pastrnak has 8 goals and 11 assists.
- Vegas on the road. The Golden Knights have won 9 of 15 games and 3 of 6 away from home, with 53 goals for and 44 against. They lost 5-2 at home to New Jersey on Friday. Mark Stone has 9 goals, and Jack Eichel 7 goals and 13 assists.
- Rest. Boston last played Saturday, Vegas on Friday.
- Puck drop. 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden, on NHL Network.
The Goalies
Jeremy Swayman is expected for Boston. He’s won 7 of his 11 starts and stopped 91.2% of the shots he’s faced.
Carter Hart is expected for Vegas. He’s won 4 of his 8 starts and stopped 88.9% of shots, and Adin Hill is at 89.1%. Neither starter is confirmed yet.
The Number
Take the margin out and the market makes Boston about a 48% shot. Our ratings, with these goalies, have the Bruins closer to 64%. That’s a real gap at even money, and it rests on our ratings, not on news, so it stays a lean.
The honest case against: Boston lost two of its last three and needed overtime to beat Chicago on Saturday, and Eichel and Stone can swing a game by themselves. It’s a Lean, and win or lose, it lands on the receipts page.
Bottom Line
Take the Bruins on the moneyline at . Lean. The better goalie, at home, at even money.
Lines as of Monday morning. Neither goalie is confirmed, so check them before puck drop.
Best Prop for This Game
We stick to shots on goal for hockey props, and we start from the under. It has a trend, a matchup and a real price behind it. It’s a Game Pick prop, a separate bet from our pick, so keep it small.
He sets up more than he shoots, and the price is plus money.
- Trend2 shots or fewer in 9 of 15 games, and zero in three of his last six
- Matchup2.5 shots a game, with 13 assists to 7 goals
Prices checked Monday morning. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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