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Stephen Curry has scored 44, 31 and 34 in his last three games, and Golden State has won five straight. Miami played Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo 41 minutes apiece last night in Los Angeles, then got on a plane. Going with the board here, and the board says lay it at Chase Center. Dubs.
The Matchup
- Curry’s heater. 44 in Minnesota, 31 against the Lakers, 34 against Phoenix on Monday, all wins. The Warriors started 0-3 and are 5-3 now, and they’re doing it without Jimmy Butler (knee, out until at least January) and Kristaps Porzingis (away from the team). Gui Santos is out tonight.
- Miami’s legs. The Heat are 3-5. They won 117-116 at the Clippers last night, with Adebayo scoring 35 and Antetokounmpo putting up 27 and 14. Monday they lost by 21 to the Lakers. Tonight is the second night of a back-to-back, and Golden State hasn’t played since Monday.
- Tip-off. 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center, on NBA TV.
The Number
Forget last season’s numbers on this one. Giannis wasn’t in Miami last year, so they don’t know who this team is. I’m riding with the market, which has the Warriors by seven, and I’m happy to: Miami is on tired legs and Curry is cooking.
What scares me: Antetokounmpo can win a game by himself, and seven is a lot of points for a Warriors team missing Butler and Porzingis. It’s a Lean, and win or lose, it lands on the receipts page.
Bottom Line
Take the Warriors at . Lean. Rested team, red-hot Curry, tired opponent. Strength in numbers.
Lines as of Thursday morning. Confirm them before tip.
Same-Game Parlay
Two legs, one story. If Golden State covers, it was Curry’s night, and Draymond Green doesn’t score much on anybody’s night: 5 points or fewer in all six games he’s played. Both legs ride on the same game, so it’s one bet, not two.
The angleGolden State covers with Curry doing the scoring.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Confirm lines before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
Best Prop for This Game
One more way to play it, and we start from the under. It’s a Game Pick prop, a separate bet from the spread, so keep it small.
He’s the passer and the defender. Scoring isn’t his job.
- Trend5 points or fewer in all six games he’s played: 2, 5, 3, 3, 2 and 4
- MatchupCurry has 34 or more in two of his last three, and the shots go to him
Prices checked Thursday morning. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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