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I know. Picking against the Nuggets in a Denver post is how you get booed out of every bar on Blake Street. Hear me out, Nuggets Nation, because I still think Denver wins this game. I just don’t think the Nuggets win it by five on the road. Our pick: Memphis plus four and a half.
The Matchup
- The Joker is doing Joker things. Nikola Jokic is averaging 10.8 boards and 9.1 assists, and Jamal Murray leads the team at 25.8 points a game. Denver shoots 48% from the floor. Julian Strawther is out with a knee injury.
- Memphis can fill it up. Ty Jerome is scoring 26.7 a game, and the Grizzlies put up 117.9 a night while hitting 39% of their threes. Cameron Boozer is pulling down 9.7 boards and handing out 5.5 assists.
- The glass is a real problem for Denver. Memphis grabs 48.3 rebounds a game to Denver’s 42.3. The Grizzlies are without Scotty Pippen Jr. and Quinten Post, and Isaiah Stewart is day-to-day with a knee injury, so check him before tip.
- Tip-off. 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum. Denver is coming off a 110-100 loss in Houston on Monday, and Memphis won 118-102 in Toronto the same night.
The Number
Our numbers have the Nuggets winning by about three and a half. The board says four and a half. That extra point is the whole bet, and I’ll take it every time it’s sitting on a home dog. What scares me: Jokic can turn a four-point game into a 15-point game in one quarter, and Memphis is only 2-3 at home.
Bottom Line
Take the Grizzlies plus four and a half at . The Nuggets get the W and Memphis keeps it close. Everybody goes home happy. It lands on the receipts page win or lose. And if the Joker drops a triple-double and Denver wins by 12, I’ll happily eat it. Mile High forever.
The angleMemphis hangs around in a shootout. Both teams can score, and the Grizzlies hit 39% from deep.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Est. price: about +245 at these numbers (the legs multiplied). Your book sets the real price. Parlays aren’t tracked on the receipts page.
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Picks are opinion and analysis, not financial advice. Odds move; confirm at the book.