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Seven road games. Seven wins. And the Oilers are plus money at the Rock? Read that again. The market is pricing Connor Hellebuyck and New Jersey’s home record, and both are real, but it’s treating Edmonton like the weaker team, and it isn’t. I’ll take the best road team in this game at a plus price all night. Oilers.
The Matchup
- Oil Country’s road show. Edmonton has won 11 of 15 and three straight: back-to-back 4-0 shutouts of Calgary and the Islanders, then a 4-1 win at Madison Square Garden on Sunday. Sixty-four goals for, 44 against. Leon Draisaitl has 12 goals and 16 assists. Connor McDavid already has 30 assists.
- The Devils at home. New Jersey has won 9 of 14 and six of its eight at the Rock. It won 5-2 in Vegas on Friday. Arseny Gritsyuk has 8 goals, and Jack Hughes has 6 goals and 10 assists.
- Rest. Edmonton played Sunday. New Jersey has been off since Friday.
- Puck drop. 7:30 PM ET at Prudential Center, on ESPN+ and Hulu.
The Goalies
Tristan Jarry is expected for Edmonton. He’s won 4 of his 7 starts and stopped 90.1% of the shots he’s faced. Not confirmed yet.
Connor Hellebuyck is likely for New Jersey. He’s won both of his starts and stopped 92.3% of shots. He’s the reason the price is where it is.
The Number
Strip the margin out and the market makes New Jersey about a 59% favorite. Our numbers, with these goalies, call it roughly 53-47 Devils. That’s close to a coin flip, and at +135 the Oilers only have to win about 43% of the time for this to be the right side.
The honest case against: Hellebuyck is the best goalie in the building, and New Jersey has had three days off. It’s a Lean, and win or lose, it lands on the receipts page.
Bottom Line
Take the Oilers on the moneyline at . Lean. Unbeaten on the road and getting plus money. Let’s go Oilers.
Lines as of Tuesday morning. Neither goalie is confirmed, so check them before puck drop.
Same-Game Parlay
One read in two legs. McDavid has 30 assists and 9 goals, so when Edmonton scores he’s more likely making the pass than taking the shot. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not two bets.
The angleEdmonton wins with McDavid setting it up, not shooting.
Build it at BetMGM →BetMGM prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Confirm lines before you build the ticket. This parlay is a Game Pick. Player props not available in all states.
Best Prop for This Game
We stick to shots on goal for hockey props, and we start from the under. It has a trend, a matchup and a real price behind it. It’s a Game Pick prop, a separate bet from our pick, so keep it small.
He sets up more than he shoots: 30 assists and 9 goals.
- Trend3 shots or fewer in 12 of 15 games
- Matchup2.8 shots a game, against a goalie who’s stopped 92.3% of shots
Prices checked Tuesday morning. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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