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I’ll lay three and a half with the Rams on Monday night. Our numbers make them a four-point favorite at home, so this is the smallest edge on the board, and it’s a lean. What tips me is Matthew Stafford.
The Number
Our preview had Buffalo at 11.2 wins and the Rams at 12.3. One point of spread for every win, plus three for the home team, makes this the Rams by 4.1. The board has the Rams by three and a half. That’s 0.6 points of daylight on the Rams. We cut that gap in half, because a preseason number knows less in October than it thinks it does, which leaves 0.3 points. That’s a small edge, so it’s a lean.
The line opened at two and a half and has moved to three and a half, even with about three quarters of the bets on Buffalo. That’s the books taking a position on the Rams.
The Matchup
Stafford has thrown for at least 317 yards in each of his last three games, and the Bills are banged up at corner, with Dee Alford missing practice and Christian Benford limited. Buffalo’s DJ Moore didn’t practice either. The Rams have Davante Adams resting, not injured,. James Cook has topped 75 rushing yards in two of his last three, so Buffalo will try to keep Stafford off the field.
Bottom Line
Take the Rams minus three and a half at . Lean. Our numbers make the Rams a four-point favorite, and the board asks three and a half. The books moved the line toward Los Angeles against the public, and it’s a lean.
Same-Game Parlay
Three legs, one read: the Rams cover because Stafford throws all over a thin Buffalo secondary. Every leg needs the same game, so this is one position, not three bets.
The angleStafford throws for 300 again and the Rams cover.
Build it at FanDuel →FanDuel prices same-game parlays in its own builder, so there is no price here. Build the legs there and check the number before you place it.
Price: check your sportsbook for SGP pricing. Lines as posted Friday at 5:00 PM ET; confirm them before you build the ticket. Player props not available in all states.
Best Props for This Game
He’s cleared this in all three of his last games.
- Trend3 of 3: 327, 390 and 317
- MatchupBuffalo is thin at corner
He’s cleared this in two of his last three, and missed the third by half a yard.
- Trend2 of 3: 135, 154 and 75
- MatchupHis biggest days came with 21 to 24 carries
Prices checked Friday at 5:00 PM ET. Prop prices move fast, so confirm them before you bet. Player props not available in all states.
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